Research
I build computational methods that serve social and organizational decision-making. My work sits at the intersection of NLP, machine learning, and computational social science, with applied threads in communication, safety/health, and public policy. This page complements my Projects page by grouping publications and artifacts under the research lines they advance.
Themes & Questions
Affective meaning in digital communication
How do people signal and interpret emotions in text-based settings, and how can models respect sociocultural context?
Data-driven safety & health
When do sensors, analytics, and feedback systems change behavior and reduce risk?
Computational policy analytics
What signals forecast political momentum, and how stable are relationships between money, polling, and campaign events?
Expectations in socio-economic systems
How do modeling choices about expectations affect stability, identifiability, and interpretation in macro-style systems?
Publications by Research Line
Affective Meaning & NLP for Messaging
I combine transformer representations with affect control theory to better measure context-dependent emotion in chat and short text. The goal is interpretable affective signals that are useful for support agents, conversational systems, and social inquiry.
The main artifact from this line is a visual pipeline showing how short messages, emojis, and social-event contexts are transformed into interpretable affective representations. Early work modeled emotional transitions in chatbot-style messaging and showed how emoji representation can enrich affective lexicons for online conversations. The later BERTNN framework advances this idea by using contextual transformer embeddings to estimate affective meanings for new concepts, supporting scalable, culturally adaptive analysis of sentiment and social dynamics.
Safety, Sensors & Behavior Change
From RFID+haptics for collision warnings to telematics-guided eco-driving and sleep technology feasibility, I study how analytics and design can reduce risk and support healthier behavior in the wild.
Computational Policy Analytics
Using time-segmented models such as joinpoint regression, I examine how fundraising and polling co-evolve in U.S. primary campaigns and what those dynamics imply for forecasting, momentum, and resource allocation.
Expectations & Macro-Style Systems
My early work studied expectation formation and solution properties in macro-style systems, with emphasis on stability, interpretability, and plausible micro-foundations.
This research line studies how assumptions about expectation formation affect the stability and interpretation of macro-style dynamic systems. In the rational expectations literature, the determinacy condition is often used as a criterion for identifying unique stable solutions. My early work revisits this assumption and argues that determinacy alone can be a weak or insufficient criterion, especially when the mathematical structure of the model does not fully capture how agents form and revise expectations.
The related multi-agent work proposes an alternative way to model systems with linear rational expectations by representing decision makers as predictive agents rather than relying only on centralized equilibrium conditions. In this view, agents estimate future states, optimize their own actions, and interact through system-level feedback. A useful visual artifact for this line would show the contrast between a traditional rational expectations equation and the behind-the-scenes agent-based process that generates expectations, decisions, and stable system behavior.
Methods & Tooling
- NLP: contextual embeddings, BERT-family models, lexicon expansion, sequence modeling for affect.
- ML: regression/classification, clustering, time-series segmentation, subgroup-aware evaluation.
- Sensing & Systems: telematics analytics, RFID localization, dashboarding, training feedback.
- Policy analytics: campaign-performance signals, joinpoint regression, comparative trend analysis.
- Open materials: selected code and preprints linked above; additional items available on request.
Impact & Collaboration
- Mindful Driving: supported by a Jefferson Trust grant; cross-unit work with operations and fleet partners; linked coverage reports improved fuel economy and greenhouse-gas reductions from the deployed software comparison.
- Affective NLP: published in a sociological methods venue, reflecting interdisciplinary work across NLP, social psychology, and computational social science.
- Collaborations across sociology, economics, kinesiology, nursing, political science, data science, business, and engineering.