I build computational methods that serve social and organizational decision-making. My work sits at the intersection of NLP, machine learning, and computational social science, with applied threads in communication, safety/health, and public policy. This page complements my Projects page by grouping publications and artifacts under the research lines they advance.


Themes & Questions

Affective meaning in digital communication

How do people signal and interpret emotions in text-based settings, and how can models respect sociocultural context?

Data-driven safety & health

When do sensors, analytics, and feedback systems change behavior and reduce risk?

Computational policy analytics

What signals forecast political momentum, and how stable are relationships between money, polling, and campaign events?

Expectations in socio-economic systems

How do modeling choices about expectations affect stability, identifiability, and interpretation in macro-style systems?


Publications by Research Line

Affective Meaning & NLP for Messaging

I combine transformer representations with affect control theory to better measure context-dependent emotion in chat and short text. The goal is interpretable affective signals that are useful for support agents, conversational systems, and social inquiry.

This research line develops computational methods for measuring emotion and social meaning in online communication. Across three connected papers, I use Affect Control Theory (ACT) to model how emotional states shift during text-based interactions, where body language and vocal cues are absent. The work extends affective dictionaries by mapping word and emoji embeddings into ACT’s evaluation–potency–activity space, enabling models to represent not only whether language is positive or negative, but also whether it signals power, agency, intensity, or social alignment.
The main artifact from this line is a visual pipeline showing how short messages, emojis, and social-event contexts are transformed into interpretable affective representations. Early work modeled emotional transitions in chatbot-style messaging and showed how emoji representation can enrich affective lexicons for online conversations. The later BERTNN framework advances this idea by using contextual transformer embeddings to estimate affective meanings for new concepts, supporting scalable, culturally adaptive analysis of sentiment and social dynamics.
Contextual Embeddings in Sociological Research: Expanding the Analysis of Sentiment and Social Dynamics.
Sociological Methodology, 2024.
Adapting Online Messaging Based on Emotional State.
UMAP ’21.
How emoji and word embedding helps to unveil emotional transitions during online messaging.
IEEE SysCon ’21.

Safety, Sensors & Behavior Change

From RFID+haptics for collision warnings to telematics-guided eco-driving and sleep technology feasibility, I study how analytics and design can reduce risk and support healthier behavior in the wild.

The RFID collision-warning study reported collision prediction with less than 14% false alarms. In the Mindful Driving project, linked UVA coverage reported nearly 6% fuel-economy improvement, more than 23 gallons of fuel saved per vehicle, and 457 pounds of annual greenhouse-gas reductions per vehicle.
Collision Prediction and Prevention in Contact Sports Using RFID Tags and Haptic Feedback.
AHFE Wearable & Assistive Technology, 2021.
Safe and Sustainable Fleet Management with Data Analytics and Training.
Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium (SIEDS), 2021.
Preliminary feasibility of technology use in an internet-delivered intervention: Improving sleep in older adults with mild cognitive impairment.
Alzheimer’s & Dementia, conference abstract, 2020.

Computational Policy Analytics

Using time-segmented models such as joinpoint regression, I examine how fundraising and polling co-evolve in U.S. primary campaigns and what those dynamics imply for forecasting, momentum, and resource allocation.

This work compares polling and financial contributions during the 2020 Democratic primaries and uses change-point analysis to identify moments when campaign trajectories shift, including shifts associated with debate performance and candidate support.
A Tale of Two Metrics: Polling and Financial Contributions as a Measure of Performance.
IEEE SysCon ’21.

Expectations & Macro-Style Systems

My early work studied expectation formation and solution properties in macro-style systems, with emphasis on stability, interpretability, and plausible micro-foundations.

This research line studies how assumptions about expectation formation affect the stability and interpretation of macro-style dynamic systems. In the rational expectations literature, the determinacy condition is often used as a criterion for identifying unique stable solutions. My early work revisits this assumption and argues that determinacy alone can be a weak or insufficient criterion, especially when the mathematical structure of the model does not fully capture how agents form and revise expectations.

The related multi-agent work proposes an alternative way to model systems with linear rational expectations by representing decision makers as predictive agents rather than relying only on centralized equilibrium conditions. In this view, agents estimate future states, optimize their own actions, and interact through system-level feedback. A useful visual artifact for this line would show the contrast between a traditional rational expectations equation and the behind-the-scenes agent-based process that generates expectations, decisions, and stable system behavior.

Why the determinacy condition is a weak criterion in rational expectations models.
International Conference on Business and Economics Research, 2010.
A predictive multi-agent approach to model systems with linear rational expectations.
First Iranian Economic Conference, 2011.

Methods & Tooling

  • NLP: contextual embeddings, BERT-family models, lexicon expansion, sequence modeling for affect.
  • ML: regression/classification, clustering, time-series segmentation, subgroup-aware evaluation.
  • Sensing & Systems: telematics analytics, RFID localization, dashboarding, training feedback.
  • Policy analytics: campaign-performance signals, joinpoint regression, comparative trend analysis.
  • Open materials: selected code and preprints linked above; additional items available on request.

Impact & Collaboration

  • Mindful Driving: supported by a Jefferson Trust grant; cross-unit work with operations and fleet partners; linked coverage reports improved fuel economy and greenhouse-gas reductions from the deployed software comparison.
  • Affective NLP: published in a sociological methods venue, reflecting interdisciplinary work across NLP, social psychology, and computational social science.
  • Collaborations across sociology, economics, kinesiology, nursing, political science, data science, business, and engineering.

Pointers